Background

Why falls?

Why falls?

Why falls?

  • Falls are bad
    • length of stay increased by 8 days
    • 1 in 3 fallers injured
  • Falls have a huge economic burden
    • most prevalent adverse event in hospitals (3.6%)
    • $6700 in additional healthcare costs

Why predict them?

Clinical Decision Support Systems

  • Relies on clinical prediction model.
  • Clinical context is important (spoiler)

This PhD

Aims/Studies

  1. Review existing clinical prediction models for inpatient falls.
  2. Develop a prediction model for inpatient falls.
  3. Develop a cutpoint selection method to align CDSS with value-based care.
  4. Develop software to determine when/where prediction models are most worthwhile.

This PhD